CHAPTER TEN
Public Opinion
Study
The American public and politicians alike are
divided about how much public opinion
should matter in democratic politics. Politicians and the media both watch
public opinion, as measured in public
opinion polls very closely. Elected officials look for job security by
responding to immediate public desires or by skillfully predicting future
requests. The media make large investments in polls, sometimes covering public
attitudes on a candidate or issue as a story in itself.
Modern polling science surveys a random sample of the population,
controlling for sample bias and
keeping sampling error as small as
possible. Benchmark polls, tracking polls, and exit polls are used in running and
covering campaigns to varying degrees. Pseudo-polls like call-in polls, most
Internet polls, or push polls are
used to manipulate rather than measure public opinion.
There are two competing visions of citizenship
in America.
The ideal democratic citizen
demonstrates political knowledge, possesses an ideology (usually liberal or
conservative), tolerates different ideas, and votes consistently. At the other
extreme lies the apolitical, self-interested citizen. Most Americans fall
somewhere between these extremes, but factors such as age, higher education,
and improved socioeconomic status seem to contribute to behavior that is closer
to the ideal.
Political
socialization--the transfer of fundamental democratic values from one
generation to the next--is affected by demographic characteristics such as race
and gender, as evidenced, for example, by the gender gap and the marriage
gap, and by life experiences such as education and religion.
Many Americans do not measure up to the ideal
of the democratic citizen, and there are grounds to argue that it may be
rational for them not to do so. Despite this rational ignorance, however, much evidence supports the idea that
public opinion does play a large role in government policy. While some citizens
may seem apolitical and disinterested, many use rational information shortcuts
like on-line processing and the two-step flow of information, through
which they get cues from opinion leaders
to make their voting decisions. Policymakers have responded by staying
generally responsive to public preferences.
Learning
Objectives
After reading this chapter, you should
understand
- the role of
public opinion in a democracy
- how public
opinion can be measured
- where our
opinions come from
- what
our opinions are--whether we think like the “ideal democratic citizen.”
Materials developed by Matthew J. Streb,
Northern Illinois University
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